The migration of Chinese population a fight at outrance city – Sohu financial war-sweets parade

The migration of Chinese population: a fight at outrance city war – source: financial Sohu CITIC Real Estate group. This article does not represent the financial position. The rapid development of China’s 30 years of zero sum game — Jianxingjianjin city war endogenous demographic dividend has slowed down, is the essence of the demographic dividend to accelerate the release of 30 years, during this period, China’s total net population increased by 324 million, of which the number of 15 – to 64 year old population has maintained 12 years of continuous growth. The rapid release of the demographic dividend is also accelerating the urban and rural population density also gathered in 2014 than in 1980 increased by 38%, the urbanization rate from the beginning of 80s less than 20% of the level of promotion to more than 50%, driven by the reconstruction of population distribution, but also promoted the development of city group and the real estate industry demand release. At the end of 12th Five-Year, however, the sustainability of the demographic dividend has become the focus of attention of all academic circles; " ". On the one hand, the total population growth started down, the natural population growth rate has dropped to below 5%, the increasingly serious problem of aging, on the other hand, the proportion of the workforce has Guaitou, dependency ratio is gradually rising. We had the annual policy done calculations, the purchase age mainstream city mainly focused on 25-34 years old and 35-44 years old, this part of the crowd from the beginning of 2015, accounted for the decline of the slope will gradually increase, although we believe that before 2025, the total population of 25-44 years old can still be stable at around 400 million, but the trend from the point of view drop, the demographic dividend has become an unavoidable topic. 9% to 33%, the city’s population battle in fact, even in the demographic dividend continued to release in twenty-first Century, the city’s population battle has begun. According to the data of Beijing streets of BCL precision, the average density of the 39007 township streets is 873 square kilometers, in 2010 rose to 977 square kilometers, continued population growth trend, but it still has 10 Street population density of 33% declined, and the sharp growth of only 9% streets. This shows that even in the process of urbanization in China has been accompanied by the full process of agglomeration and extreme differentiation, the city boundary growth is not inclusive, but zero sum game, this phenomenon will be more obvious in the process of future demographic dividend has slowed down, how in the next 10 years the city, master surplus the demographic dividend, will be the main problem facing enterprises, so the research on the migration direction and the reason is that we report the value of. China migration after the establishment of the new China back for a period of time, due to the implementation of the planned economy and the household registration management, plus the policy does not allow rural residents to move into the city, the number of floating population and less. From the beginning of 80s, become the main force of the national urbanization from the large scale of rural surplus labor transfer to the city, the population bonus to be released, so we started from late 80s to change sort of China’s migration trend. People in the last century, 80s.相关的主题文章: