Is the end of this year’s strong end-www.yngbzx.cn

Is the end of this year’s strong end? Global foreign exchange in February 16th — the international spot gold on Monday (February 15th) fell sharply in the last week after the boom, investors choose profits makes gold intraday decline of nearly 3%, was very close to $1200 an ounce mark. On Thursday the price of gold soared more than a year the highest level reached above 1260, on Friday fell to below 1240, but on Monday the price of gold since 1230 above all the way down, hit a day low of $1201 an ounce, down to 2.3%. Global policymakers hinted to boost the economy, investor confidence has been restored, European stock markets rose, ftseurofirst 300 index rose nearly 3%, stocks led the Bank of Italy. Hongkong’s Hang Seng Index rose nearly 3%. Nikkei closed up 7.2%, the biggest increase in 2008. A shares decline narrowed, the gem, the Shenzhen Component Index once turned red. The American market is closed due to the president’s day. Some analysts believe retracement is normal after gold prices last nearly $200 last week since the January lows. The stock market rebounded sharply Monday in Europe nearly 3%, a stronger yuan, the dollar against the yen and the euro has also been strong, the market risk of demand growth, to suppress the gold’s performance. Daniel Commerzbank Briesemann said: "if the stock market continues to rise, then the gold market will continue to bear pressure.". But in any case, the price of gold will be supported." Briesemann believes that although gold prices may fall back to the level of $1150 ounce, but there will be more people choose to enter. Briesemann said: "the Fed’s interest rate hike information has not been included, on the other hand, the European Central Bank may announce more QE in March.". Everyone is trying to devalue money, in such an environment, gold will become a hedge asset." The European Central Bank President Delaki (Mario Draghi) said in a speech Monday, has been seen on global economic worries intensified; the new year the first week that the euro zone is facing a major challenge; prior to overcome these challenges, take more powerful measures is necessary; since the beginning of December, the market sentiment has accelerated economic deterioration; unfavorable factors need close attention; the European Central Bank is ready to exercise the responsibility; the euro zone economy has a moderate recovery. European economic recovery is mainly due to the easing of the ECB, but inflation is not as good as expected. China’s trade surplus hit a record high in January, pushing the RMB exchange rate up. The General Administration of customs data released Monday showed that Chinese continue to maintain a large current-account surplus, which helped to ease capital outflows and devaluation worries in the onshore and offshore renminbi both rose, spreads narrowed to 100 points. In addition, this Monday is the China market after the Spring Festival the Spring Festival holiday return on the first day, the price of gold rose nearly $60 an ounce, which makes Chinese investors choose profits. A Sydney trader said: "the price of gold is lower because of the stock market rally and the sell-off in the Chinese market, and there are many profit taking theories

获利了结黄金暴跌迎猴年 强势就此终结了吗?   环球外汇2月16日讯–国际现货黄金本周一(2月15日)大幅回落,在上周的暴涨后,投资者们选择获利了结使得金价日内跌幅近3%,一度非常接近1200美元 盎司关口。上周四金价暴涨触及1260上方的一年多最高水平,周五回落至1240下方,而本周一金价自1230上方一路走低,日内触及1201美元 盎司的低点,跌幅达到2.3%。   受全球决策者暗示将力保经济提振,投资者信心有所恢复,欧洲股市大涨,泛欧绩优300指数涨近3%,意大利银行股领涨。香港恒生指数上涨近3%。日经收涨7.2%,创2008年最大涨幅。A股跌幅缩窄,创业板、深成指一度翻红。美国市场因总统日休市。   一些分析师认为,在金价自1月低点上周了近200美元 盎司后,回撤是非常正常的。周一欧洲地区股市大幅回升近3%,人民币走强,美元兑日元和欧元也有所走强,市场风险需求增长,打压黄金的表现。   德国商业银行(Commerzbank) Daniel Briesemann表示:“如果股市继续上涨,那么黄金市场还将继续承压。但无论如何,金价还将受到支撑。”Briesemann认为,虽然金价可能回落至1150美元 盎司的水平,但会有更多人选择入场。   Briesemann说:“美联储加息的信息已经不被计入了,另一方面,欧洲央行却可能会在3月宣布更多QE。所有人都在试图贬值货币,在这样的环境中,黄金会成为避险资产。”   欧洲央行行长德拉基(Mario Draghi)周一发表讲话,称已看到对全球经济的担忧加剧;新年首周显示欧元区面临重大的考验;在克服这些挑战之前,采取更为强力措施是有必要的;自12月初以来,市场人气恶化已经加速;经济不利因素需要密切关注;欧洲央行已经准备好行使责任;欧元区经济已温和复苏。欧洲经济的复苏主要得益于欧洲央行的宽松政策,但通胀不如预期。   中国1月贸易顺差创历史新高,这推动人民币汇率大涨。海关总署周一公布的数据显示,中国继续保持较大经常账户顺差,这帮助缓解了资本外流以及人民币贬值忧虑,在岸和离岸人民币双双大涨,价差收窄至100点以内。   此外,本周一是中国市场在春节后回归第一日,整个春节假期金价上涨了差不多60美元 盎司,这使得中国的投资者们也选择获利了结。   一名悉尼的交易员表示:“金价走低因为股市回升和中国市场的抛售,有很多获利了结行为。”其它贵金属价格也追随金价下跌,周一银价下跌2.7%,铂金价格下跌2.1%,钯金价格下跌1.7%。   截至2月12日,全球最大的黄金上市交易基金SPDR Gold Trust的黄金持仓量较前一个交易日减少5吨,为711吨,但仍创去年7月来新高。   去年金价预测最准分析师、法国外贸银行的Bernard Dahdah认为,今年金价将跌至三位数,金价将在900至1300美元 盎司间,均价970美元 盎司,因美联储加息和美元走强打压黄金。   黄金短期下行或不改强势格局   今年至今市场震荡带来的避险需求使得黄金市场获得很大推动,黄金市场的多头开始有卷土重来的迹象。盛宝银行(Saxo Bank)商品研究主管Ole Hansen表示,黄金这一次又成为了全球市场的晴雨表。   Hansen指出,去年也出现过这样的状况,但今年的情况有一些不同,“在投资者们年初对美联储加息有预期的情况下,对市场出现这样的状况完全没准备。”因此,Hansen指出市场的情绪出现了改变,纷纷从空头转向多头。   虽然本周一金价有所回落,Hansen认为,这是因为那些多头开始回到正常状态中,短期内金价偏下行。Hansen表示:“我们对黄金依然持看多的态度,但对金价此次上涨的时间有些意外。”   Hansen认为,在未来几周金价将在1200美元 盎司左右,不过他表示,那些此前错过涨势的投资者会进场买盘。Hansen还将今年年底金价预期自1200上调至1250美元 盎司。   德国商业银行(Commerzbank)指出,周一金价跌幅超过2%,甚至跌破了1210美元 盎司水平,较上周四的一年多高点跌去了近60美元 盎司。   该行指出,目前黄金市场毫无疑问有获利了结的情况,上周五SPDR黄金ETF流出了5.1吨,是12月以来最大的单日流入量。德国商业银行认为,此前金价的上涨大部分是受到投机市场的行动,因此会出现大量的获利了结。   不过,高盛(Goldman Sachs)在最新的报告中表示,目前应当做空黄金。高盛表示,仍然预计美联储将加息,而三个月后金价预计跌至1100美元 盎司,12个月的金价预期目标则是1000美元 盎司。   环球外汇行情中心显示,北京时间9:45,现货黄金报1205.10美元 盎司。 进入【新浪财经股吧】讨论相关的主题文章: